Geoeconomics of Irregular Warfare: Iran and the Global Ripple Effects — Part VIII

Geoeconomics of Irregular Warfare: Iran and the Global Ripple Effects — Part VIII

In Part Eight of Irregular Warfare Initiative’s special series examining the conflict with Iran, produced by IWI’s Economic & Legal Warfare team, our expert panel featuring Norman Roule (Former Senior U.S. Intelligence Official), Hamlet Yousef (IWI Economic & Legal Warfare Advisor), and Tom Johansmeyer (Co-Lead, Economic & Legal Warfare Project, IWI) examines how Iran and the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) are adapting as the conflict enters a new phase. Moderated by Jackie Giunta of Irregular Warfare Initiative’s Engagements team, the discussion explores the intersection of military pressure, economic statecraft, regional influence, and strategic decision-making as negotiations continue alongside ongoing competition across multiple domains.

The panel assesses the current state of the IRGC, the effectiveness of economic pressure and maritime enforcement efforts, and the role of Hezbollah and Lebanon within Iran’s broader regional strategy. The conversation also explores how cognitive warfare, public narratives, and perceptions of success or failure are shaping both domestic and international audiences during the ceasefire period. Drawing on perspectives from intelligence, economic warfare, and risk analysis, this session provides a nuanced assessment of how Iran is balancing pressure, adaptation, and influence while navigating an increasingly complex strategic environment.