Economic & Legal Warfare

Examining the non-traditional tools of conflict—economic warfare, lawfare, influence operations, and societal pressure—that define the expanding gray zone between war and peace.

Securing Europe’s Telecom Supply Chain

Europe's telecom operators still rely on network equipment from suppliers that European regulators consider high-risk from a national security perspective, and replacing it is not free. Removing that equipment from European fixed, mobile, and transport networks could cost approximately €35 billion, according to analysis from GSMA Intelligence,

Defense Industrial Mobilization Needs More Than Startups and Drones

Editor's note: The "Short of War" Podcast discussing this article is AI-generated. The wars of the 2020s have generated a powerful narrative about the future of defense industrial policy. Cheap drones, agile startups, venture-backed innovation, and commercial technology adapted for military use now dominate

To Disrupt Russia’s Shadow War, Follow the Money

Editor's note: The "Short of War" Podcast discussing this article is AI-generated. Just before eight o’clock on a September evening in 2021, two men opened a conversation on Telegram about how to kidnap a Russian fugitive. One, Orlin Roussev, was a Bulgarian information technology

Clipped Wings: The Power of Aeronautical Statecraft

When a Russian Airbus A320 made an emergency landing in a Siberian wheat field in 2023, it provided a striking visual of aerospace sanctions in practice. Ural Airlines publicly attributed the incident to a hydraulic failure, but the driver was likely crippling aerospace sanctions. Western sanctions choked off the flow

Getting It Right: Understanding the Economic Effects of Cyber Threats

We tend to see cyber threats measured in economic terms. Dollar amounts become shorthand for societal, political, and even human harm. Policymakers and other officials set the price tag set high enough to justify massive investments in remediation and protection, pushing the tally into the trillions of dollars. In the

Cold War 2.0 Will Be Won by Private Capital

This article was originally produced under The Cipher Brief. It is republished here at the request of the author, who is an advisor for the Irregular Warfare Initiative's Economic & Legal Warfare Focus Area. The next Arsenal of Democracy will be built as much by investors, entrepreneurs, and

Investing in the Next Arsenal of Democracy

This article was originally produced under The Cipher Brief. It is republished here at the request of the author, who is an advisor for the Irregular Warfare Initiative's Economic & Legal Warfare Focus Area. America’s critical technology, maritime, infrastructure, and advanced manufacturing base is one of the

Geoeconomics of Irregular Warfare: Iran and the Global Ripple Effects — Part XI

In Part Eleven of Irregular Warfare Initiative’s special series on the conflict with Iran, presented by the Economic & Legal Warfare Team, Hamlet Yousef (IWI Economic & Legal Warfare Advisor) and Ioannis (Gianni) Koskinas (CEO, Hoplite Group) are joined by special guest Dave Pitts (President, IPA; Former CIA Senior

What Iran's Crypto Insurance Proposal Means for Irregular Warfare and Shipping in Asia

Editor's note: The "Short of War" Podcast discussing this article is AI-generated. On May 17, 2026, Iran proposed a “Hormuz Safe” platform for ships seeking to cross the Strait of Hormuz. This Bitcoin-denominated platform would enable cargo owners to purchase cryptographically-backed insurance instead

Geoeconomics of Irregular Warfare: Iran and the Global Ripple Effects — Part X

In Part Ten of Irregular Warfare Initiative’s special series on the conflict with Iran, presented by the Economic & Legal Warfare Team, Ioannis (Gianni) Koskinas (CEO, Hoplite Group), Matt Flug (Director, Economic & Legal Warfare Focus Area, IWI), and Richard Y. Newton III, Lt General, USAF (Ret), Founding Partner,

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Bridging the gap between irregular warfare scholars, practitioners, and policymakers.

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The Economic and Legal Warfare (ELW) Project explores and illuminates the non-traditional tools of conflict that come with a vastly expanded domain of operations. The expansion of security strategy beyond orthodox military perspectives over the past 30 years has led to a larger and more complex battlespace, which now includes political, economic, legal, societal, cognitive and psychological vulnerabilities. Conventional military confrontation is now part of a broader toolkit, and much of that expanded toolkit remains in its infancy.

Irregular warfare thrives in the “gray zone” between war and peace. The ELW project takes a close look at the current use and future potential associated with influence and information operations, new forms of economic warfare and lawfare, and innovative approaches to societal influence and pressure. While not solely a military concept, Joint Publication 1, Doctrine for the Armed Forces of the United States, outlines the Diplomatic, Informational, Military, and Economic (DIME) model, emphasizing the interconnected nature of these instruments in achieving national security objectives. The “economic domain,” in particular, remains an underutilized yet decisive factor in shaping adversarial behavior, reinforcing its role as a critical complement to military power in modern conflict.

These hybrid methods align with irregular warfare’s emphasis on shaping the entirety of the operational environment – weakening opponents and achieving goals through disruption, influence, and manipulation. Recognizing and countering such tactics is crucial as state and non-state actors increasingly challenge stronger adversaries while necessarily avoiding the costs and risks of conventional war.

Our project is aligned around the following topics:

  • Sanctions & Embargoes (Trade Controls)
  • Inbound & Outbound Investment Security Regimes
  • Tactical Economic Warfare Supply Chain
  • Weaponizing Aid & Contingent Capital
  • Natural Disasters and the Nexus of Economic and Information Influence (“Disaster Diplomacy”)
  • Agricultural & Food Security
  • Dual Use Technology in Action
  • Natural Resources & Critical Minerals

Meet the Team

Matthew Flug Matthew Flug General Counsel, Co-Director, Economic & Legal Warfare
Tom Johansmeyer Tom Johansmeyer Co-Director, Economic & Legal Warfare
Aaron Jon Pasha Aaron Jon Pasha Associate Advisor, Economic & Legal Warfare
Brad Dragoon Brad Dragoon Advisor, Economic & Legal Warfare
Crispin Smith Crispin Smith Programming Lead, Economic & Legal Warfare
Dimitri Ivanov Dimitri Ivanov Chief of Staff
Erik Bethel Erik Bethel Advisor, Economic & Legal Warfare
Hamlet Yousef Hamlet Yousef Advisor, Economic & Legal Warfare
Kipling “Kip” Kahler Kipling “Kip” Kahler Advisor, Economic & Legal Warfare
Zayd Haufe Zayd Haufe Intern, Economic & Legal Warfare

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