We Bombed the Wrong Target
✉️ Email header below is auto-generated from this post’s author tag. It only appears in the newsletter — please don’t edit or delete it. Editor’s Note: this article is being republished with the permission of Small Wars Journal as part of a republishing arrangement between IWI and SWJ.
The Guerrilla Leader Theory: A Data-Driven Approach to Winning within the Human Domain (Part 1 of a 3 part series)
Although much of the literature on insurgency and counterinsurgency combat diagnoses population-centric and irregular warfare as primarily political, cultural, or resource problems, this research suggests that warfare within and among populations is, first and foremost, a leadership problem.
The Strategic Logic of Large Militant Alliance Networks
✉️ Email header below is auto-generated from this post’s author tag. It only appears in the newsletter — please don’t edit or delete it. Episode 148 of the Irregular Warfare Podcast explores why militant groups form alliances, and what the content of those alliances can tell us about their
Precision-Guided Predictions: Intelligence Risk in Prediction Markets
✉️ Email header below is auto-generated from this post’s author tag. It only appears in the newsletter — please don’t edit or delete it. What if an alarm in the presidential residence in Caracas didn't come from a radar hit or a defecting general, but came from
Geoeconomics of Irregular Warfare: Iran and the Global Ripple Effects
✉️ Email header below is auto-generated from this post’s author tag. It only appears in the newsletter — please don’t edit or delete it. In the first session of the Irregular Warfare Initiative’s Economic and Legal Warfare series, Matthew Flug (Co-Director, IWI Economic & Legal Warfare), Hamlet
Cognitive Warfare Is Cheap—and That’s the Problem
✉️ Email header below is auto-generated from this post’s author tag. It only appears in the newsletter — please don’t edit or delete it. Editor’s Note: this article is being republished with the permission of Small Wars Journal as part of a republishing arrangement between IWI and SWJ.
State-Actor Cyber Catastrophes: $40bn over 26 Years
✉️ Email header below is auto-generated from this post’s author tag. It only appears in the newsletter — please don’t edit or delete it. The first article published in the Journal of Strategic Competition provides a fresh view of a vexing problem – understanding the cost of cyber catastrophe. The
Preserving the American Edge: Revitalizing the Defense Industrial Base
✉️ Email header below is auto-generated from this post’s author tag. It only appears in the newsletter — please don’t edit or delete it. Episode 147 of the Irregular Warfare Podcast examines the past, present, and future of America’s defense industrial base—and why its strength may determine
The Waiting Game: Signposts of Russia’s Coming Failure in Africa
Editor’s Note: this article is being republished with the permission of Small Wars Journal as part of a republishing arrangement between IWI and SWJ. The original article was published on 01.01.2026 and is available here. Russia has expanded its footprint in Africa in recent years. In the
China’s Digital Yuan and the Fight for Southeast Asia’s Financial Infrastructure
While China’s Belt and Road Initiative often emerges in headlines, a far less visible but potentially more critical campaign is underway in the digital domain. Across Southeast Asia, Beijing is expanding its financial infrastructure reach through the digital yuan, operating firmly in the gray zone by leveraging emerging technology
Bridging the gap between irregular warfare scholars, practitioners, and policymakers.
