Proof Against the Clock: The Two-Hour Rule for Second Thomas Shoal
Salty air whips across the deck as the Philippine resupply vessel shoulders through turbulent swells, its bow locked onto the skeletal silhouette of the BRP Sierra Madre rusting atop the reef at Second Thomas Shoal. Dawn hasn’t yet fully broken, but the sea gives its warning anyway. Within seconds,
The Strategic Use of Drones in Pakistan–India Irregular Warfare
The rapid spread of unmanned aerial systems (UAS) has changed the dynamics of the India-Pakistan rivalry. Instead of manned airpower and attritional land exchanges, the competition is now based on cheap precision, constant surveillance, deniable force, and escalation ambiguity. Drones of all types are now used constantly along the militarized
Geoeconomics of Irregular Warfare: Iran and the Global Ripple Effects — Part II
In Part Two of Irregular Warfare Initiative’s special series examining the unfolding conflict with Iran, Hamlet Yousef (IWI Economic & Legal Warfare Advisor), Ioannis Koskinas (CEO, Hoplite Group), and Mark Kelton (Former Senior Executive Service Officer, CIA) discuss the geoeconomic dimensions of the conflict and the broader ripple effects
Q&A with Former Israeli Shin Bet Director and Command-in-Chief of the Israeli Navy – Ami Ayalon on Iran, Gaza, and Posturing the Israeli Navy for the Future
✉️ Email header below is auto-generated from this post’s author tag. It only appears in the newsletter — please don’t edit or delete it. “The essence of victory is not to kill your enemy; it is to change your political reality.” — Ami Ayalon Editor’s Note: This article is presented
Iran, Revolution, and the Logic of Proxy Warfare
✉️ Email header below is auto-generated from this post’s author tag. It only appears in the newsletter — please don’t edit or delete it. Episode 150 of the Irregular Warfare Podcast examines the historical and strategic forces that shaped modern Iran and explores how the Islamic Republic uses irregular warfare
Arming Kurdish Resistance Fighters in Iran with Drones
✉️ Email header below is auto-generated from this post’s author tag. It only appears in the newsletter — please don’t edit or delete it. CNN reported on March 3rd that the Central Intelligence Agency had begun arming the Kurdish resistance as a ground force to support Iranian resistance. The situation
We Bombed the Wrong Target
✉️ Email header below is auto-generated from this post’s author tag. It only appears in the newsletter — please don’t edit or delete it. Editor’s Note: this article is being republished with the permission of Small Wars Journal as part of a republishing arrangement between IWI and SWJ. The
The Guerrilla Leader Theory: A Data-Driven Approach to Winning within the Human Domain (Part 1 of a 3 part series)
✉️ Email header below is auto-generated from this post’s author tag. It only appears in the newsletter — please don’t edit or delete it. “True connectedness, the data argues, is not forged over a cup of tea. It is forged in shared hardship, demonstrated through mutual vulnerability, and sustained by
The Strategic Logic of Large Militant Alliance Networks
✉️ Email header below is auto-generated from this post’s author tag. It only appears in the newsletter — please don’t edit or delete it. Episode 148 of the Irregular Warfare Podcast explores why militant groups form alliances, and what the content of those alliances can tell us about their organizational
Precision-Guided Predictions: Intelligence Risk in Prediction Markets
✉️ Email header below is auto-generated from this post’s author tag. It only appears in the newsletter — please don’t edit or delete it. What if an alarm in the presidential residence in Caracas didn't come from a radar hit or a defecting general, but came from a
Bridging the gap between irregular warfare scholars, practitioners, and policymakers.
